近期橡胶市场评估与展望

「行业资讯」近期橡胶市场评估与展望

2020-05-18

在经历了持续低迷和大幅震荡的第一季度，随着气温回升和主要天胶生产国恢复割胶，橡胶技术展发展，市场正在反馈较为积极的信息，可持续跟进。

整体来看，供应端来看，今年国内产区因白粉病为推迟开割，但泰国产区情况整体较好，虽然原料价格低位将影响胶农割胶积极性，但在政府补贴产业和旅游服务业受创情况下，低价原料将刺激胶农存在以量补价可能，未来供应预期维持稳定。

需求端来看，就终端重卡市场而言，物流业得到明显恢复，各地投资项目也陆续启动，轮胎内销的配套和替换需求表现乐观。然而占据轮胎接近一半的出口需求明显受阻，海外疫情促使轮胎出口订单大幅萎缩，受订单及库存拖拽，工厂生产积极性不高，部分轮胎企业通过延长“五一”假期来降低自身成品库存压力，进而拖累天然橡胶需求。

进入5月随着开割区域扩大，新胶供应也将逐渐增加，在需求明显下降的情况下，国内显性库存持续攀升，高库存将继续施压胶价，预计天然橡胶价格延续震荡寻底过程。后市面临的风险点在于海外疫情的演变、东南亚国家防控力度以及开割期物流是否会受阻。

热门新闻

「行业资讯」当前市场环境下，橡胶价格操作策略

「行业资讯」江苏省设定项目新红线含多类橡胶产品

现场图片

联系我们

中联橡胶股份有限公司
地址：北京市朝阳区慧忠路5号
远大中心C座12层（100101）
电话：+86-10-53779792
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