欧洲市场中东动荡致橡胶价格继续上涨

2026-05-28

欧洲市场中东动荡致橡胶价格继续上涨

欧洲橡胶贸易协会（RTAE）在五月行业简报中指出，基准天然橡胶等级TSR 20的价格在过去四个月中上涨非常缓慢，涨幅约为18%，即每公斤30欧分。协会表示，价格走势并非一路上扬——3月底和4月中旬曾出现两次明显下跌，年初也有一波回落，这些下跌很可能是3月至4月美元汇率剧烈波动所致。

值得注意的是，TSR 20的价格走势图几乎没有显示出自2月28日以来美以对伊朗开战及霍尔木兹海峡航运受阻带来的影响，中东局势对橡胶现货价格的冲击目前看似有限。不过，RTAE援引近期报告称，消费者需求对天然乳胶价格构成了上行压力，而这种需求可能源于预期丁腈合成橡胶将出现短缺。此外，来自东亚（如韩国）生产商的合成橡胶在途库存目前似乎令人满意，但当前和未来的合成橡胶生产可能会因来自波斯湾国家的原料供应中断而受到制约。

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