2020轮胎展：USTMA小幅上调2020年轮胎出货量预测

「行业资讯」2020轮胎展：USTMA小幅上调2020年轮胎出货量预测

2020-08-12

据美国媒体8月3日华盛顿消息，基于今年剩余时间替换市场出货量并不那么悲观的预测，美国轮胎制造商协会（USTMA）日前将2020年的轮胎出货量预测小幅上调。

USTMA在8月3日公布的最新报告预计，乘用车和轻型卡车替换轮胎出货量同比将分别下降15.2%和11.8%，这与今年4月底发布的预测下降17.2%和16%相比稍好些。

如今预估中型/重型卡车轮胎替换出货量较上年同期将下降5%，相比之下此前的预估为下降7.3%。预估替换轮胎总减少量为3870万套，而早先预估为4470万套。USTMA并未就其调整出货量预测的原因予以置评。

USTMA表示，乘用车、轻型卡车和卡车轮胎的原配出货量预计分别减少24.5%、21%和32.6%，合计将减少1470万套——这比该协会宣布抗击COVID-19大流行的社交隔离措施后在4月份预计的多了30万套。

在此之前， 3月初USTMA称，由于卡车轮胎售后市场需求强劲，预计美国轮胎出货量将比2019年略有增长，达到3.332亿套。

总体而言，今年的出货量预计将从2019年的3.327亿套下降至2.794亿套。按轮胎类别划分的出货量如下:

替换市场:乘用轮胎—下降15.2%至1.887亿套;轻型卡车轮胎—下降11.8%至2870万套;中型/重型卡车轮胎—下降5%至1800万套。

原配市场: 乘用轮胎——下降24.5%至3490万套;轻型卡车轮胎——下降21%至460万套;中型/重型卡车轮胎-下降32.6%至440万套。

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