特殊时期我国橡胶进出口状况概览

「行业资讯」特殊时期我国橡胶进出口状况概览

2020-05-20

因国内几乎在最早的时间内控制住了公共卫生事件，目前主要恢复生产的原料出口主要为中国，橡胶技术展与您一同关注。

混合胶主要出口国是中国，春节前天然橡胶行情偏好，套利空间打开，且考虑到节后下游工厂复工，需求向好，国内采购2-3月船期的情绪偏高，故混合胶出口量同比明显增长。但新冠肺炎疫情1月下旬爆发，胶价走跌，且3月中旬东南亚产胶国确诊病例上升，开始有封城、封港等举措，影响船货运输效率，导致混合胶出口量环比缩减，预计4月份对中国出口量环比将下降。考虑到国内天然橡胶库存居高，初步核算国内橡胶库存量可供3.5个月使用，因此就算进口下降，对国内的供应造成的实质性影响也较小。

进口方面，据中国海关数据显示，2020年3月份进口天然橡胶48.46万吨，同比增加2.33%；其中，混合胶进口量为28.04万吨，同比增加1.48%。据泰国海关公布的数据显示，2020年3月份，泰国天然橡胶（含复合、混合胶）出口量约37.23万吨，出口量环比下跌17.66%，同比下跌14.67%。一方面，泰国进入季节性低产季；另一方面，新冠肺炎爆发，宏观经济受挫，全球橡胶需求被抑制。从出口至中国的数量来看，3月份泰国混合胶出口至中国15.27万吨，同比增加14.59%，环比下跌7.14%；泰国标胶出口至中国2.98万吨，同比下跌50.82%，环比下跌45.83%。

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